Second Division round 15

Falkirk vs Edinburgh City analysis

Falkirk Edinburgh City
54 ELO 50
-2.5% Tilt -0.6%
808º General ELO ranking 7462º
10º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
48.5%
Falkirk
25.2%
Draw
26.3%
Edinburgh City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.3%
Win probability
Edinburgh City
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
+16%
+35%
Edinburgh City

Points and table prediction

Falkirk
Their league position
Edinburgh City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dunfermline Athletic FC
79
79
100%
Falkirk
64
65
100%
Airdrieonians
57
58
47.5%
Alloa Athletic
58
58
47.5%
Edinburgh City
51
52
41.5%
Queen of the South
51
52
34%
Montrose
48
51
63.5%
Kelty Hearts
40
41
100%
Clyde
21
21
100%
Peterhead
10º
16
17
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Falkirk
Edinburgh City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Falkirk
Edinburgh City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
36%
28%
36%
54 58 4 0
29 Oct. 2022
QOS
Queen of the South
1 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
47%
25%
28%
53 54 1 +1
22 Oct. 2022
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 3
Kelty Hearts
KHE
42%
25%
33%
54 54 0 -1
18 Oct. 2022
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
41%
26%
33%
53 54 1 +1
15 Oct. 2022
MON
Montrose
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
51%
24%
25%
53 55 2 0

Matches

Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
EDI
Edinburgh City
0 - 3
Queen of the South
QOS
43%
25%
32%
53 52 1 0
29 Oct. 2022
PET
Peterhead
1 - 1
Edinburgh City
EDI
13%
21%
66%
53 38 15 0
22 Oct. 2022
EDI
Edinburgh City
3 - 1
Airdrieonians
AIR
37%
26%
37%
52 56 4 +1
15 Oct. 2022
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 0
Edinburgh City
EDI
54%
25%
21%
53 58 5 -1
08 Oct. 2022
EDI
Edinburgh City
2 - 0
Kelty Hearts
KHE
36%
25%
38%
52 54 2 +1