League Cup round 6

Falkirk vs Celtic analysis

Falkirk Celtic
65 ELO 81
11.4% Tilt -2.8%
785º General ELO ranking 299º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.6%
Falkirk
21.1%
Draw
26.3%
Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
Falkirk
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
26.3%
Win probability
Celtic
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
+2%
+35%
Celtic

ELO progression

Falkirk
Celtic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 1955
FAL
Falkirk
4 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
71%
16%
14%
64 62 2 0
27 Aug. 1955
QOS
Queen of the South
0 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
68%
16%
16%
63 63 0 +1
20 Aug. 1955
CEL
Celtic
5 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
80%
12%
8%
63 81 18 0
17 Aug. 1955
GLA
Rangers
4 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
77%
14%
9%
63 82 19 0
13 Aug. 1955
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 5
Rangers
GLA
44%
22%
34%
64 82 18 -1

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 1955
CEL
Celtic
0 - 4
Rangers
GLA
63%
18%
18%
82 82 0 0
27 Aug. 1955
GLA
Rangers
1 - 4
Celtic
CEL
60%
20%
20%
81 82 1 +1
20 Aug. 1955
CEL
Celtic
5 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
80%
12%
8%
81 63 18 0
17 Aug. 1955
QOS
Queen of the South
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
45%
22%
33%
81 64 17 0
13 Aug. 1955
CEL
Celtic
4 - 2
Queen of the South
QOS
80%
13%
8%
81 65 16 0