Fagiano Okayama vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SHO
1 - 1
FAG
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FAG
2 - 1
THE
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 0
FAG
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
JEF
3 - 1
FAG
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 3
OIT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NAG
4 - 2
THE
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
VVA
1 - 1
NAG
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAG
3 - 2
SHO
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
REN
1 - 3
NAG
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GIF
2 - 6
NAG
61%
22%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |