Faetano vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FAE
1 - 0
DOM
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TPE
0 - 1
FAE
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TFI
0 - 0
JUV
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 2
FIO
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
TFI
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TFI
4 - 2
VIR
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |