Fabril Barreiro vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
13º
9º
3
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 17 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AMO
2 - 0
FAB
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FAB
2 - 3
LAG
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
FAB
13%
19%
69%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FAB
0 - 1
SIN
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FAB
1 - 1
LOU
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MOU
1 - 2
OPE
12%
19%
69%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MOU
1 - 0
POR
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
5 - 0
MOU
69%
20%
12%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MOU
1 - 4
SER
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 1
MOU
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +1 |