Europa League 1/32
Global 3-0
Fabril Barreiro vs RWD Molenbeek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
FAB
2 - 4
VST
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
MOL
0 - 1
FAB
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
CDM
0 - 1
FAB
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
FAB
1 - 2
BEL
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
FAB
5 - 1
BMA
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
RWD Molenbeek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
MOL
0 - 1
BEE
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
MOL
0 - 1
FAB
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
CRO
1 - 1
MOL
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
MOL
0 - 0
AND
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1972 |
ANT
0 - 1
MOL
40%
29%
31%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |