Primeira Liga round 22

Fabril Barreiro vs Porto analysis

Fabril Barreiro Porto
68 ELO 84
-0.7% Tilt -13%
6188º General ELO ranking 69º
109º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.4%
Fabril Barreiro
26.1%
Draw
40.4%
Porto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
Fabril Barreiro
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.4%
Win probability
Porto
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fabril Barreiro
-34%
+10%
Porto

ELO progression

Fabril Barreiro
Porto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fabril Barreiro
Fabril Barreiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 1969
ACA
Académica
1 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
72%
18%
10%
68 77 9 0
23 Feb. 1969
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
2 - 0
Uniao Tomar
UFT
57%
23%
20%
68 67 1 0
16 Feb. 1969
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
42%
27%
32%
68 74 6 0
02 Feb. 1969
SCP
Sporting CP
1 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
74%
18%
8%
67 81 14 +1
26 Jan. 1969
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
1 - 3
Atlético CP
ATL
74%
17%
9%
68 52 16 -1

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 1969
FCP
Porto
2 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
62%
22%
17%
84 74 10 0
23 Feb. 1969
SCP
Sporting CP
2 - 1
Porto
FCP
44%
27%
29%
84 81 3 0
16 Feb. 1969
FCP
Porto
4 - 1
Atlético CP
ATL
85%
11%
3%
84 54 30 0
02 Feb. 1969
VAR
Varzim
1 - 1
Porto
FCP
24%
27%
49%
84 59 25 0
26 Jan. 1969
FCP
Porto
2 - 1
Leixões
LEX
75%
16%
9%
84 63 21 0