Primeira Liga round 15

Fabril Barreiro vs Porto analysis

Fabril Barreiro Porto
61 ELO 87
9.6% Tilt 8.2%
6083º General ELO ranking 70º
103º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.2%
Fabril Barreiro
22.7%
Draw
55%
Porto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
Fabril Barreiro
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55%
Win probability
Porto
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fabril Barreiro
-24%
+13%
Porto

ELO progression

Fabril Barreiro
Porto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fabril Barreiro
Fabril Barreiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 1957
CAL
Caldas
2 - 2
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
57%
21%
23%
59 59 0 0
01 Dec. 1957
FCB
FC Barreirense
1 - 3
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
69%
17%
14%
58 65 7 +1
24 Nov. 1957
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
5 - 3
Oriental Lisboa
ORI
64%
19%
18%
57 58 1 +1
17 Nov. 1957
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
80%
12%
8%
57 88 31 0
10 Nov. 1957
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
7 - 1
Vitória Setúbal
VST
50%
22%
28%
56 65 9 +1

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 1957
FCP
Porto
2 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
55%
20%
25%
87 88 1 0
01 Dec. 1957
FCP
Porto
4 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
73%
15%
12%
87 82 5 0
24 Nov. 1957
LGC
Lusitano GC Évora
0 - 2
Porto
FCP
29%
23%
48%
86 71 15 +1
17 Nov. 1957
FCP
Porto
4 - 2
Académica
ACA
81%
12%
8%
86 71 15 0
10 Nov. 1957
FCP
Porto
4 - 2
Sporting Braga
SPB
80%
12%
8%
86 65 21 0