Express SC vs NEC FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EXP
0 - 0
MFC
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
VIP
3 - 0
EXP
66%
19%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
EXP
2 - 1
MHF
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
EXP
0 - 0
AFC
8%
18%
73%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
GAD
3 - 2
EXP
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
NEC FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
UPD
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 2
NEC
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NEC
3 - 1
VIP
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 1
KIT
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 2
SCV
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |