Express SC vs Mbale Heroes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+337%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
EXP
0 - 0
AFC
8%
18%
73%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
GAD
3 - 2
EXP
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
EXP
1 - 2
NEC
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
VIP
1 - 0
EXP
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EXP
1 - 2
JIN
56%
23%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |