Exeter City vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
EXE
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 4
EXE
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EXE
2 - 2
CUM
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
EXE
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
PLY
3 - 2
YOR
67%
20%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
PLY
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 1
LUT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
PLY
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PLY
2 - 2
OXF
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |