Exeter City vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 0
EXE
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
EXE
2 - 2
CAM
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 1
EXE
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 2
TRA
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
OXF
2 - 2
EXE
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 0
CAM
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
WYC
0 - 2
PLY
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 2
PLY
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 1
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |