Excursionistas vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
LUJ
1 - 0
EXC
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 3
EXC
46%
28%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 1
CCO
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 0
EXC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
CAÑ
22%
27%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
POR
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SBA
3 - 0
POR
49%
26%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
LUJ
37%
29%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 2
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |