Excursionistas vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
EXC
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 1
DAL
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 0
EXC
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 0
MID
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SBA
0 - 1
EXC
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LUJ
0 - 0
POR
38%
30%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 0
LUJ
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
LUJ
1 - 3
CAM
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAD
2 - 1
LUJ
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LUJ
0 - 1
LAF
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |