Excursionistas vs JJ Urquiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
ARQ
1 - 1
EXC
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
ARM
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
DAL
1 - 1
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 0
LAM
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2005 |
SMA
1 - 4
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
JJU
2 - 2
DOC
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 1
JJU
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
SMG
0 - 0
JJU
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
JJU
0 - 1
ACA
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2005 |
JJU
3 - 0
CAÑ
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |