Excursionistas vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MID
2 - 0
EXC
34%
29%
37%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
SAC
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
JUU
2 - 2
EXC
39%
29%
33%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 2
JJU
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
STM
0 - 0
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 1
ARM
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 2
TAL
47%
27%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
2 - 0
LAM
57%
24%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
SMG
1 - 1
ARM
53%
24%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 0
LAF
37%
28%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |