Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
VOL
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
DWS
0 - 0
EXC
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
EXC
1 - 1
ADO
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
MVV
0 - 0
EXC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1971 |
AZA
0 - 1
TEL
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
VOL
2 - 0
TEL
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 1
DWS
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
ADO
1 - 0
TEL
72%
17%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |