Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
6 - 1
TEL
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
VVV
1 - 3
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1998 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRO
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1998 |
FCD
1 - 0
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1998 |
GAE
2 - 2
EXC
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
FCO
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
HER
0 - 0
NAC
26%
24%
49%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
FCE
2 - 0
HER
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
HEL
2 - 1
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
VVV
3 - 0
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |