Excelsior vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 3
UTR
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
RKC
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
RBC
64%
20%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
RJC
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
FEY
3 - 1
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
FEY
2 - 1
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
FEY
4 - 1
GRO
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
AZA
1 - 4
FEY
21%
23%
55%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |