Excelsior Virton vs Dessel Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 3
EXC
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 3
EEA
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LEU
1 - 1
EXC
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
TUB
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
EXC
23%
25%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dessel Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DES
1 - 2
LOM
16%
22%
63%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GEE
0 - 1
DES
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
DES
1 - 3
KSV
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HEI
3 - 1
DES
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DES
1 - 2
PAT
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |