Excelsior Mouscron vs Torhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 1
RWD
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
SDL
27%
25%
49%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
GNK
1 - 0
EXC
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
4 - 1
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CER
1 - 0
EXC
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Torhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
TOR
0 - 0
STN
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
RAC
3 - 1
TOR
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 1
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BOR
2 - 0
TOR
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
TOR
4 - 4
CAP
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |