Excelsior .31 vs Rijnsburgse Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
NUN
2 - 0
EXC
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 5
BEQ
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GOA
0 - 2
EXC
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 0
PKC
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 1
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rijnsburgse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 3
RIJ
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
RIJ
1 - 0
RVV
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
RIJ
2 - 1
TER
69%
18%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
RIJ
2 - 0
CAP
51%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
RIJ
2 - 2
ARC
72%
17%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |