Excelsior .31 vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 1
EXC
36%
25%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 3
LIS
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 2
FLE
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 0
GEN
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 1
HOE
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 2
KAT
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
KAT
0 - 2
CAP
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |