Excelsior .31 vs Genemuiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 1
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
68%
18%
15%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
NOO
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 0
CAP
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 2
LIS
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
JOD
2 - 2
GEN
32%
23%
45%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 2
IJS
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 1
CAP
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 3
GEN
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |