Copa Chile Last 16
Global 2-0
Everton Viña del Mar vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton Viña del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
DSC
1 - 1
EVE
16%
21%
63%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
EVE
3 - 0
DSC
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 0
EVE
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
SWA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
UCH
0 - 1
EVE
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 4
IQU
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCO
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSL
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |