Everton vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
46%
29%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
TOT
3 - 0
EVE
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
EVE
1 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
LEE
3 - 2
EVE
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
EVE
1 - 1
IPS
64%
23%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
SOU
2 - 1
LEE
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
NEW
3 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
SOU
1 - 1
WBA
55%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
CHL
3 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
SOU
3 - 2
SHE
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |