Everton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1992 |
MUD
1 - 0
EVE
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1992 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1992 |
SOU
1 - 2
EVE
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1991 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1991 |
EVE
0 - 1
SHW
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1992 |
NTT
1 - 1
NOT
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1992 |
CRY
1 - 1
NTT
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1992 |
NTT
1 - 0
WOL
86%
10%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1992 |
NTT
1 - 1
LUT
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1991 |
OLD
2 - 1
NTT
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |