Everton vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1934 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1934 |
EVE
2 - 0
MAC
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1934 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1934 |
SHW
0 - 0
EVE
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1934 |
EVE
2 - 0
BIR
71%
16%
12%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1934 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1934 |
MID
2 - 3
SHW
51%
21%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1934 |
MAC
5 - 2
MID
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 0
MID
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1934 |
MID
3 - 0
WBA
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |