Premier League round 33

Everton vs Chelsea analysis

Everton Chelsea
83 ELO 74
0.8% Tilt -2.4%
63º General ELO ranking 21º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
68.1%
Everton
16.8%
Draw
15.1%
Chelsea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
Everton
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.1%
Win probability
Chelsea
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Everton
-3%
+2%
Chelsea

ELO progression

Everton
Chelsea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Everton
Everton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 1962
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 1
Everton
EVE
39%
24%
36%
83 78 5 0
03 Mar. 1962
EVE
Everton
4 - 0
Wolves
WOL
44%
22%
34%
82 85 3 +1
24 Feb. 1962
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
Everton
EVE
40%
24%
37%
82 75 7 0
17 Feb. 1962
BUR
Burnley
3 - 1
Everton
EVE
75%
14%
11%
83 86 3 -1
10 Feb. 1962
EVE
Everton
2 - 2
Burnley
BUR
42%
23%
35%
83 86 3 0

Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 1962
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 1
Birmingham City
BIR
56%
20%
24%
75 78 3 0
24 Feb. 1962
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
46%
23%
31%
75 84 9 0
16 Feb. 1962
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Blackpool
BPO
52%
21%
27%
74 80 6 +1
10 Feb. 1962
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
3 - 0
Chelsea
CHL
56%
20%
24%
75 79 4 -1
03 Feb. 1962
CHL
Chelsea
0 - 1
West Ham
WHU
53%
20%
27%
75 80 5 0