Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1960 |
WHU
2 - 2
EVE
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1960 |
EVE
4 - 0
PNE
41%
23%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 1960 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1960 |
EVE
0 - 2
WOL
29%
23%
49%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1960 |
SHW
2 - 2
EVE
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1960 |
CHL
3 - 0
LUT
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1960 |
SHW
1 - 1
CHL
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1960 |
CHL
2 - 2
WBA
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1960 |
CHL
4 - 2
FUL
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1960 |
WHU
4 - 2
CHL
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |