Community Shield Final

Everton vs Blackburn Rovers analysis

Everton Blackburn Rovers
83 ELO 81
14.4% Tilt 12.9%
63º General ELO ranking 509º
15º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
59.7%
Everton
18.8%
Draw
21.5%
Blackburn Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
Everton
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.5%
Win probability
Blackburn Rovers
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Everton
-3%
+6%
Blackburn Rovers

ELO progression

Everton
Blackburn Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Everton
Everton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 1928
WHU
West Ham
2 - 4
Everton
EVE
56%
21%
23%
82 80 2 0
13 Oct. 1928
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 1
Everton
EVE
55%
22%
24%
83 81 2 -1
06 Oct. 1928
EVE
Everton
4 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
62%
20%
19%
82 80 2 +1
29 Sep. 1928
EVE
Everton
1 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
63%
20%
17%
82 81 1 0
22 Sep. 1928
HUR
Huddersfield Town
3 - 1
Everton
EVE
60%
21%
19%
82 86 4 0

Matches

Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 1928
BUR
Burnley
2 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
62%
19%
20%
82 80 2 0
13 Oct. 1928
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 1
Everton
EVE
55%
22%
24%
81 83 2 +1
06 Oct. 1928
HUR
Huddersfield Town
0 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
61%
20%
19%
81 86 5 0
29 Sep. 1928
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
55%
21%
25%
81 79 2 0
24 Sep. 1928
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
58%
21%
21%
80 82 2 +1