Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
SHE
1 - 0
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1914 |
EVE
2 - 3
MID
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1914 |
BUR
1 - 0
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
NEW
0 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1914 |
TOT
1 - 3
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
WBA
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1914 |
SHW
5 - 2
ASV
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 3
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 3
MID
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |