Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1988 |
DER
0 - 0
EVE
21%
28%
51%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHA
78%
16%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
OXF
1 - 1
EVE
22%
28%
50%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1988 |
COV
1 - 2
EVE
30%
28%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
EVE
2 - 1
OPA
78%
16%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1988 |
ARS
1 - 1
COV
63%
22%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
SHW
3 - 3
ARS
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
LUT
3 - 2
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1988 |
ARS
0 - 1
WAT
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1988 |
WHU
0 - 1
ARS
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |