CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Etoile Sahel vs Maranatha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ETO
1 - 0
CLU
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
OLY
1 - 1
ETO
41%
33%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
ETO
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ETO
3 - 1
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ETO
4 - 1
FEL
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Maranatha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
ETO
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
APR
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
APR
2 - 0
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
DIA
27%
24%
50%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
DIA
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |