CAF Champions Final
Global 3-0
Etoile Sahel vs AS des Douanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ETO
4 - 0
ESB
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
CSH
1 - 2
ETO
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ASD
0 - 0
ETO
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
ENY
1 - 0
ETO
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ETO
0 - 0
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS des Douanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ASD
0 - 0
ETO
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |