Etoile Carouge vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ETO
3 - 2
MAR
65%
18%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MEY
2 - 0
ETO
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
YOU
1 - 2
ETO
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LAU
2 - 2
ETO
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ETO
2 - 1
BUL
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
YOU
2 - 0
FRI
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FRI
0 - 3
VEV
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LAU
3 - 0
FRI
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FRI
2 - 1
BUL
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
THU
3 - 1
FRI
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |