Ethnikos Achnas vs Karmiotissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
12º
9º
9
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 56 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 47 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 46 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 36 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 33 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 25 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 23 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 23 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
8.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
91.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ENO
1 - 1
ETH
26%
25%
50%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ETH
1 - 2
ARI
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ANO
0 - 0
ETH
56%
22%
23%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AEL
5 - 2
ETH
43%
25%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ETH
3 - 1
AEZ
78%
14%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Karmiotissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 6
OMO
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
AYI
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAP
4 - 0
KAR
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
APO
17%
23%
61%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OMO
1 - 1
KAR
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |