Ethnikos Achnas vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
ENO
1 - 1
ETH
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ETH
2 - 2
NEA
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
DOX
0 - 1
ETH
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ETH
1 - 1
APO
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
ETH
0 - 2
PAF
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
ERM
7 - 1
KAR
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
ERM
4 - 2
ENO
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NEA
3 - 1
ERM
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ERM
0 - 1
DOX
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ERM
2 - 0
APO
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |