Ethnikos Achnas vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PAP
3 - 0
ETH
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 2
ERM
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
APO
5 - 2
ETH
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 0
AYI
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ANO
3 - 0
ETH
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
AEK
1 - 2
NEA
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AEL
0 - 1
AEK
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AEK
2 - 1
ENO
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARI
0 - 1
AEK
27%
27%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AEK
2 - 2
APO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |