Etar vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
6º
5º
39
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
39 | 11 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
BER
3 - 0
ETA
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
ETA
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ETA
0 - 0
FLK
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 0
ETA
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ETA
2 - 1
ARK
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 2
LSO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 4
BOT
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
BER
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CVA
3 - 0
LSO
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |