Etar vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
6º
5º
39
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
39 | 11 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
BER
3 - 0
ETA
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
ETA
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ETA
0 - 0
FLK
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 0
ETA
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ETA
2 - 1
ARK
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 2
LSO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 4
BOT
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
BER
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CVA
3 - 0
LSO
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |