Etar vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
6º
5º
33
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 11 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
OFK
2 - 2
ETA
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
ETA
1 - 1
LSO
30%
26%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
BER
3 - 0
ETA
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
ETA
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ETA
0 - 0
FLK
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 1
BVR
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 0
HEB
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
OFK
1 - 2
BVR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
ETA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
BVR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |