Tecos vs Chiapas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
PAC
2 - 0
EST
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ATL
4 - 0
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
JAG
1 - 1
PUE
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 2
JAG
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
AME
38%
24%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
DOR
0 - 0
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 4
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |