Tecos vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 2
EST
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
PUE
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
NEC
0 - 0
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
EST
2 - 4
CHI
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
EST
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
CAZ
2 - 3
VER
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 1
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
NEC
0 - 0
CAZ
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |