Copa Libertadores Final
Global 2-1
Estudiantes La Plata vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
EST
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 3
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
DEF
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
GOI
1 - 0
CRZ
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 2
CRZ
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
1 - 0
AVA
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
3 - 1
GRE
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 4
GRÊ
78%
14%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |