Estudiantes La Plata vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
QUI
0 - 0
EST
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
EST
3 - 0
RIV
25%
22%
52%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
IND
3 - 1
EST
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
EST
2 - 0
CAU
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
VEL
0 - 1
EST
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
TAL
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2003 |
ARS
0 - 0
GLP
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
LAN
0 - 1
ARS
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |