Venezuelan Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Estudiantes de Mérida vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
APC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
URE
2 - 0
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 3
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
URE
3 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
URE
2 - 0
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
URE
5 - 3
ZUL
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
URE
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
URE
3 - 1
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |