Estudiantes de Mérida vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 2
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TAC
1 - 3
EST
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
MET
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
TAC
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
MIR
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
2 - 3
LAR
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 1
TRU
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
TRU
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
URE
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |