Estudiantes de Mérida vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1987 |
EST
0 - 3
CEN
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
1 - 0
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
68%
17%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
EST
1 - 0
TAC
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 1
TOL
35%
23%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1987 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
IND
3 - 3
VEL
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
BOC
2 - 3
IND
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1987 |
IND
2 - 0
ITA
77%
16%
8%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
RAC
2 - 2
IND
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |