Estudiantes de Mérida vs Puerto Cabello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
40%
25%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 0
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
EST
3 - 2
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
EST
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
APC
0 - 0
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
APC
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
APC
2 - 4
MET
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
APC
0 - 0
ZAM
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
APC
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |