Estrella San Agustín vs Villafranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 1
EST
56%
22%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 1
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
5 - 1
MOR
63%
19%
17%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 0
EST
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
CDD
42%
24%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
OSU
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
LEB
18%
22%
60%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
6 - 0
VIL
69%
20%
11%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 5
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 1
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |